200 homes at Milford Golf Course +16%
The planning approved outline permission for 200 houses to be built at Milford Golf Course will have a severe impact on Station Lane. Traffic Studies project an extra 831 vehicle movements to and from the new housing estate. That will add 16% to the total number of vehicles using Station Lane.
Gordon Murray HQ Dunsfold +5%
Update: This planned HQ has now been scrapped. Gordon Murray Automotive had planning approved in April 2019 for 13,400sqm of high tech office and manufacturing headquarters that will be on Dunsfold Airfield but not subject to the Dunsfold Park Masterplan. Significantly the HQ will be built before the spine road and access to the A281 is built. When open the HQ complex will create 1670 vehicles per day and with no public transport a large proportion will be using routes to the A3 and Godalming. This will add an estimated 5% to the total number of vehicles using Station Lane.
Development of 3500 homes in Cranleigh, Alfold and Dunsfold +66%
Of the 3500 homes it is very conservative assumption that there are 4800 employed residents. 88% (as in the well established Camborne case study) will need to commute to employment (4224 vehicles). Few are multiple occupation vehicles
Assumptions:
40% (1690) go West to get to mainline stations or A3 via Markwick Lane,
30% (1267) go North to Guildford via A281,
30% (1267) East to Cranleigh or South to Horsham.
The direct route West to the A3 or Milford station for those 3380 cars per day is via Markwick Lane and Station Lane. Markwick Lane is currently 2700vpd so that 3380 increase represents 125% to 6080vpd.
When applied to Station Lane with a current flow of 5100vpd that extra 3380 vehicles is an increase of 66% to 8480vpd.
Oil Exploration proposed in Dunsfold area
Two planning applications are with Surrey CC for building of two separate oil exploration wells. In the case of UKOG’s High Loxley application they have submitted projections of vehicle movements (see table) for the various phases of the exploration. Their figures do not state the number of vehicles projected should oil be discovered and subsequently extracted in the following decades.
UKOG indicate HGVs will use the Eastern Route to the A281, even though the destinations would be Southampton and Basingstoke. Non-HGV traffic routes are stated to be the same – to the East. However there is no policing of this nor any process to log the 64 movements a day leaving the site. There is the potential for upto 18,000 non-HGV movements a year using the Western corridor to the A3. The separate iGas planning application for nearby Loxhill is likely to project similar numbers of vehicles.
